Work out net present value and the internal rate of return
The idea
Net present value discounts every cash flow of a project at the required return and subtracts the outlay, so a positive NPV means the project adds value at that required return. The internal rate of return is the discount rate that sets NPV to zero, which answers a different question: not how much value, but at what rate. The two agree on accept-or-reject for a single conventional project and can disagree on ranking two, because IRR implicitly assumes cash flows are reinvested at the IRR itself. When they conflict, follow NPV — it is denominated in money, which is what shareholders actually receive.
Formulas
Net present value
NPV = Σ CFₜ ÷ (1 + r)ᵗ
- CFₜ
- the cash flow at time t, with the initial outlay as a negative CF₀
- r
- the required rate of return
- t
- the period, counted from 0
Accept if NPV is positive. Where NPV and IRR disagree on mutually exclusive projects, NPV wins.
A practice question
Net present value is the present value of a project's future cash flows minus:
- the initial investment — correct
- the discount rate appliedWhy not: A rate cannot be subtracted from an amount of money. The rate does its work inside the discounting, before anything is netted off.
- its internal rate of returnWhy not: Also a rate, and also already used elsewhere: IRR is what you compare against the required return, not something you subtract.
NPV measures value added in money, so the outlay has to be netted off the discounted inflows.
A harder one
A project costs $1,000 today and pays $1,210 in two years. At a 10% required return, its NPV is closest to:
- $210Why not: The undiscounted surplus, 1,210 − 1,000. Waiting two years for that 1,210 costs exactly the 210.
- $100Why not: One year of discounting at 10% on the outlay, not a present value of the inflow. Discount 1,210 by 1.10² and it comes back to 1,000.
- $0 — correct
Discounting 1,210 at 10% for two years gives exactly 1,000, so it breaks even — which also makes 10% its IRR.
The hardest tier
A project costs $500 now and pays $200 at the end of each of the next three years. At an 8% required return, its NPV is closest to:
- $100Why not: 600 − 500, the undiscounted surplus. Discounting the three inflows takes the total from 600 to 515.42.
- -$15Why not: The right magnitude with the sign reversed. The discounted inflows come to 515.42, which is above the 500 outlay, not below it.
- $15 — correct
The three inflows discount to 185.19, 171.47 and 158.77, a total of 515.42 against a 500 outlay.
In the app: 18 practice questions on this outcome, a narrated walkthrough with diagrams, spaced review that brings it back before you forget it.
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