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Value a REIT share by discounted cash flow, by net asset value and by relative value using price-to-FFO and price-to-AFFO multiples, and interpret the results

CFA® Level II · Alternative Investments · Investments in Real Estate through Publicly Traded Securities · L2.AI.3.d

The idea

Three routes lead to a value for a REIT share. The asset route uses net asset value per share, perhaps with a premium or discount for management quality or balance-sheet risk. Relative valuation applies a multiple taken from peers and adjusted for differences in growth, leverage and property quality: value = P/FFO multiple × FFO per share or P/AFFO multiple × AFFO per share. The discounted cash flow route forecasts dividends for a few years, adds a terminal value, often a multiple of the following year's AFFO, and discounts everything at the required return on equity. The traps are mixing measures, such as applying a P/AFFO multiple to FFO, and discounting the terminal value over the wrong number of years.

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