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Contrast the main dividend policy theories and, for a described dividend decision by a company, explain what each theory implies for its share value

CFA® Level II · Corporate Finance · Analysis of Dividends and Share Repurchases · L2.CI.1.b

The idea

Three views compete. Miller and Modigliani's irrelevance theory says that with no taxes or transaction costs payout cannot change value, because investors can create a homemade dividend by selling shares or reinvest a dividend they do not want. The bird-in-the-hand view holds that investors value a certain dividend above uncertain gains, so a higher payout lowers the cost of equity and raises price. The tax aversion argument says that where dividends are taxed more heavily than capital gains, a lower payout (or repurchases) serves taxable investors better. Clienteles form around each preference. It is easy to mix up which theory implies higher or lower value from a higher payout, so link each theory to its direction.

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