Economics: CFA® Level II
It is 5–10% of the 2027 Level II exam. 25 learning outcomes across 2 learning modules.
Currency Exchange Rates: Understanding Equilibrium Value
- For a spot or forward currency quote, work out and explain its bid–offer spread and say what makes that spread wider or narrower
- Given bid–offer quotes for three currencies, spot a triangular arbitrage and work out the profit it yields
- Explain spot and forward exchange rates and work out a currency's forward premium or discount
- Work out a forward contract's value when marked to market
- Explain the international parity conditions, namely interest rate parity in its covered and uncovered forms, the international Fisher effect, purchasing power parity and forward rate parity
- Set out how the international parity conditions link to one another
- Judge how well today's spot rate, the forward rate, uncovered interest parity and purchasing power parity each forecast future spot rates
- Explain the ways of estimating what an exchange rate is fairly worth over the long run
- Explain the carry trade and its link with uncovered interest rate parity, and work out what it earns
- Explain how the flows recorded in the balance of payments move exchange rates
- Explain what fiscal and monetary policy may do to exchange rates
- Set out why central banks or governments intervene in currency markets or impose capital controls, and how well such measures work
- Set out the signals that a currency crisis may be coming
Economic Growth
- Contrast what helps and what holds back economic growth in developing versus developed economies
- Explain how long-run stock market gains relate to the economy's sustainable rate of growth
- Explain why equity and fixed income investors care about potential GDP and how fast it grows
- Contrast technological progress with capital deepening and explain how each drives growth and labour productivity
- Show how growth accounting can be used to forecast potential GDP
- Explain the effect of natural resources on growth and judge the claim that scarce resources hold growth back
- Explain how immigration, demographics and labour force participation shape how fast and how sustainably an economy grows
- Explain how spending on human capital, physical capital and technology development feeds economic growth
- Contrast the classical, neoclassical and endogenous theories of growth
- Explain the convergence hypotheses and judge how well they hold
- Explain the economic case for governments encouraging private investment in knowledge and technology
- Set out what dropping trade barriers is likely to do to capital investment and profits, to jobs and wages, and to growth in each economy concerned
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