Explain the role of minimum-variance hedge ratios, macro-hedges and cross-hedges for portfolios exposed to several foreign currencies
The idea
A cross-hedge uses a different but correlated currency or asset when hedging the actual exposure is costly or impossible, accepting basis risk because the two do not move together exactly. A macro-hedge protects the whole portfolio against a broad risk, such as a currency basket or a general risk-off move, rather than hedging each exposure separately, cutting cost and complexity. The minimum-variance hedge ratio is the slope from regressing the foreign asset's domestic-currency return on the currency's return, equal to ρ × σ(RDC) ÷ σ(RFX). It captures translation risk and any economic link between local returns and the exchange rate, so it need not equal one. The trap is trusting it blindly: correlations shift, so estimates are unstable.
Formulas
Minimum-variance hedge ratio
h = ρ × σ(RDC) ÷ σ(RFX)
- ρ
- the correlation between RDC and RFX
- σ(RDC)
- the volatility of the asset's domestic-currency return
- σ(RFX)
- the volatility of the currency's return
It is the slope from regressing RDC on RFX, so it captures translation exposure and any economic link between local returns and the currency, and need not be one. Correlations shift, so re-estimate it rather than trust one number.
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