Contrast valuing a business by the free cash flow available to equity (FCFE) with valuing it by its free cash flow to the whole firm (FCFF)
The idea
Free cash flow to the firm is the cash available to all providers of capital, debt and equity, after operating costs, taxes and investment in fixed and working capital. Discounting it at the weighted average cost of capital gives the value of the firm, from which the market value of debt is subtracted to reach equity. Free cash flow to equity is what remains for common shareholders after interest, debt repayment and new borrowing; discounting it at the required return on equity values equity directly. FCFF is often preferred when FCFE is negative or leverage is set to change. The trap is mixing measures and rates: FCFE at the WACC, or FCFF at the cost of equity, gives a meaningless number.
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- Explain whose point of view as owner the FCFE approach takes
- Explain which adjustments turn EBIT (pre-interest, pre-tax earnings), EBITDA, net income and operating cash flow (CFO) into FCFF and FCFE
- Work out FCFF and FCFE
- Set out ways of projecting FCFF and FCFE
- Explain how dividends, buybacks, new share issues and shifts in leverage can change future FCFF and FCFE
- Contrast the FCFE model with dividend discount models
- Assess using EBITDA and net income as stand-ins for cash flow when valuing a firm
- Explain how sensitivity analysis is used in FCFF and FCFE valuation
- Explain FCFF and FCFE models with one stable-growth stage, two stages and three stages, and argue which suits a given firm's characteristics
- Estimate what a firm is worth with the free cash flow model or models that fit it
- Set out ways of working out terminal value in a valuation model with several stages
- Judge from a free cash flow valuation whether a stock is priced too high, too low or fairly