Explain FCFF and FCFE models with one stable-growth stage, two stages and three stages, and argue which suits a given firm's characteristics
The idea
The choice of free cash flow model follows the company's expected growth pattern. A single-stage model, value equals next year's free cash flow divided by (discount rate − g), fits a mature company growing steadily at about the rate of the economy. A two-stage model suits a company with a period of high growth that then settles; the first stage is forecast year by year and the second valued as a growing perpetuity. A three-stage model adds a transition in which growth declines, suiting a young company with very high current growth. Growth can be applied to free cash flow itself or to its components, such as sales and margins. The trap is valuing a company about to change sharply with a single-stage model.
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- Contrast valuing a business by the free cash flow available to equity (FCFE) with valuing it by its free cash flow to the whole firm (FCFF)
- Explain whose point of view as owner the FCFE approach takes
- Explain which adjustments turn EBIT (pre-interest, pre-tax earnings), EBITDA, net income and operating cash flow (CFO) into FCFF and FCFE
- Work out FCFF and FCFE
- Set out ways of projecting FCFF and FCFE
- Explain how dividends, buybacks, new share issues and shifts in leverage can change future FCFF and FCFE
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- Set out ways of working out terminal value in a valuation model with several stages
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