Explain how residual income valuation links to the justified P/B ratio derived from forecasted fundamentals
The idea
The residual income model explains the price-to-book ratio directly. Dividing value, which is book value plus the present value of future residual income, by B0 gives the justified ratio P/B = 1 + PV of future residual income ÷ B0. If the company is expected to earn more than its cost of equity, that present value is positive and P/B exceeds one. If ROE equals r, P/B equals one; if ROE is below r, P/B is below one. With constant ROE and growth, the justified ratio becomes P/B = (ROE − g) ÷ (r − g). An analyst compares the market P/B with the justified figure to judge valuation. The trap is reading a P/B below one as automatically cheap, when it may simply reflect returns below the cost of equity.
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- Work out economic value added, market value added and residual income and explain what they mean
- Explain what residual income models are used for
- Value a common share with the residual income model and contrast when value is recognised under it and under other present value models
- Explain the fundamentals that determine residual income
- Work out a common share's intrinsic value with residual income models that have one constant-growth stage or several stages, and explain the result
- Back out the growth rate implied in residual income from the market P/B ratio and an estimated required return on equity
- Explain continuing residual income and defend an estimate of it at the forecast horizon in light of the firm's and industry's outlook
- Contrast residual income models with free cash flow and dividend discount models
- Explain where residual income models are strong and weak and argue for using one to value a firm's common stock
- Set out the accounting problems that arise when residual income models are applied