Explain where residual income models are strong and weak and argue for using one to value a firm's common stock
The idea
Residual income models have clear strengths: terminal values are a smaller share of total value, they use readily available accounting data, they work for companies that pay no dividend or have negative free cash flow, and they focus on economic profitability rather than accounting profit alone. Their weaknesses are that they depend on accounting data that may be distorted or managed, they assume a clean surplus relation in which book value changes only through earnings and dividends, and they may need adjustments for items taken directly to equity. The model suits companies without dividends, with negative expected free cash flow or with very uncertain terminal values. It is a poor fit for companies whose reported book values are unreliable.
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- Work out economic value added, market value added and residual income and explain what they mean
- Explain what residual income models are used for
- Value a common share with the residual income model and contrast when value is recognised under it and under other present value models
- Explain the fundamentals that determine residual income
- Explain how residual income valuation links to the justified P/B ratio derived from forecasted fundamentals
- Work out a common share's intrinsic value with residual income models that have one constant-growth stage or several stages, and explain the result
- Back out the growth rate implied in residual income from the market P/B ratio and an estimated required return on equity
- Explain continuing residual income and defend an estimate of it at the forecast horizon in light of the firm's and industry's outlook
- Contrast residual income models with free cash flow and dividend discount models
- Set out the accounting problems that arise when residual income models are applied